Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.912976 2.189529 2.493701 2.853352 3.267364 3.729473 4.285023
2025-06-29 1.457932 1.821626 2.259317 2.826101 3.542553 4.420622 5.582377
2025-07-06 1.195396 1.584701 2.082654 2.768721 3.693440 4.902294 6.611844
2025-07-13 1.090900 1.518711 2.094248 2.929226 4.116717 5.755548 8.207298
2025-07-20 0.964411 1.399608 2.010783 2.937471 4.317502 6.313061 9.447421
2025-07-27 0.887744 1.337416 1.993836 3.029646 4.637983 7.064614 11.049467
2025-08-03 0.801573 1.248732 1.924547 3.029979 4.812417 7.607247 12.386254
2025-08-10 0.724677 1.164132 1.849809 3.009094 4.944614 8.089536 13.673160
2025-08-17 0.652799 1.078784 1.763300 2.956635 5.014492 8.470953 14.826989
2025-08-24 0.610433 1.036599 1.741078 3.006067 5.256797 9.160746 16.589018
2025-08-31 0.572936 0.998270 1.720472 3.054177 5.498803 9.871032 18.466368
2025-09-07 0.529600 0.945158 1.668636 3.040232 5.625420 10.384160 20.031646
2025-09-14 0.476789 0.874002 1.585160 2.973655 5.673990 10.808530 21.585897
2025-09-21 0.433856 0.817131 1.523044 2.943084 5.794225 11.397845 23.585458
2025-09-28 0.392783 0.758789 1.451052 2.883321 5.846790 11.856188 25.374479
2025-10-05 0.382985 0.759509 1.491507 3.050757 6.379334 13.352558 29.601312
2025-10-12 0.356569 0.724136 1.456780 3.059360 6.579363 14.176598 32.460750
2025-10-19 0.341583 0.710267 1.463590 3.155525 6.979060 15.481041 36.616827
2025-10-26 0.318932 0.677854 1.428331 3.155873 7.164947 16.331476 39.822880
2025-11-02 0.296565 0.643646 1.385538 3.134084 7.296728 17.073143 42.873475
2025-11-09 0.273694 0.605942 1.331181 3.079353 7.343745 17.619558 45.512057
2025-11-16 0.261021 0.589731 1.322782 3.130925 7.653157 18.841455 50.104071
2025-11-23 0.249197 0.574218 1.314288 3.181119 7.965297 20.110726 55.025732